96. Hedging 2: Lists & Predictions

The Uncertainty of the Future

The Uncertainty of the Future

Mentions of lists, predictions and doubtful truths can be made vaguer so they are less likely to be proved untrue

.

TYPES OF HEDGING

The post before this (95. Hedging 1) explains how statements sometimes need to be made vague for their accuracy to be guaranteed, and that hedging is the name often given to this practice. The point is also made that different statement types have to be hedged in different ways, with the result that the language of hedging is itself quite variable. Two types of hedged statement are analysed in that previous post – quantifications and generalizations – and at least three others are suggested to exist. This post is about these three other ways of hedging.

.

HEDGING OF LISTS

Lists in a text are usually associated with what I call a “list name” – a more general expression that sums up all of the words in the list (see 55. Sentence Lists 2: Main-Message and 122. Signpost Words in Multi-Sentence Listing). List names do not have to be put into words, but they often are. Here is an example:

(a) The primary colours are red, yellow and blue.

In this case the list name is exactly matched by the list: red, yellow and blue are indicated to be the the complete list of the primary colours. The main completeness indicator is the before the list name (see 162. The Language of Classification). However, not all lists completely match their list name like this. Here is one that does not:

(b) Various European language types can be identified, such as Romance, Slavic and Germanic.

This list does not exactly match its list name – some of the possibilities are unmentioned. The main linguistic indicators of this are the absence of the at the start and the use of such as before the list. Unmentioned language types include Celtic, Basque and Greek.

List-giving is an area where hedging can occur because writers cannot always be certain whether or not the list is complete. The reason may be that short, complete lists are quite rare in professional writing; many lists are very long, or are suspected of having unknown members. Consider again the list name European language types. Most people can name the best-known language types, such as the Romance languages, and probably one or two lesser ones like Greek; but few can say with certainty what the full list is.

The normal way to hedge when you are uncertain whether or not a list is complete is by means of “incompleteness-showing” language. There are at least three main kinds. The first kind is the same language that introduces examples (see 1. Simple Example-Giving and 33. Complex Example-Giving). The words such as in (b) are of this kind. However, hedging and simple example-giving do not always coincide; examples can be given for other reasons than for hedging, for example to prove a point regardless of the amount of certainty about the members of the list.

Secondly, incompleteness can be shown by means of highlighting expressions like notably, especially and in particular, where the mentioned members of the list are suggested to be somehow more important than the unmentioned ones. Here again, hedging is not the only use but, given the frequency of uncertainty about lists, it is a common one. More about this kind of incompleteness language is in the posts 54. Sentence Lists 1: Incidental and 122. Signpost Words in Multi-Sentence Lists.

The third major way of showing incompleteness involves the list name rather than the list itself. Compare the following with (b) above:

(c) The main European language types are Romance, Slavic and Germanic.

The incompleteness of this list is shown by the words the main before the list name. These words also suggest that the mentioned list members are special in some way. Similar expressions are the major, the most important, the commonest and the best-known.

One expression that can be used with a list name without suggesting specialness is some (of the). Number words without the are also possible – three instead of the main in (c). If the list name is being used as a heading rather than part of a sentence, a further alternative is to write no words at all before it (see 178. How to Write a Heading). 

.

HEDGING OF PREDICTIONS

Predictions are common in professional writing (see 147. Types of Future Meaning). They can hardly ever be made with certainty – the famous American Benjamin Franklin wrote in 1789 that nothing in the future is certain “except death and taxes”. Such uncertainty about the future makes predictions an obvious candidate for hedging. The main language for hedging predictions is modal verbs, adverbs and adjectives. Consider this unhedged prediction:

(d) Humans will travel to Mars in the future.

The modal verb will is a typical means of making predictions, but unfortunately it also implies certainty. If we wish to allow for the unpredictability of the future, we can replace will with either the modal should (showing over 90% certainty), or may (around 50% certainty), or might (around 30%) or could (around 10%).

Alternatively, sentence (d) can be hedged by means of an opinion-showing “judgement” adverb placed after will. Possible adverbs in descending order of meanings from near certainty to near uncertainty are probably, most likely, perhaps, possibly and conceivably (see 121. Sentence-Spanning Adverbs, #3).

Adjectives that achieve the same effects include probable, likely, possible, conceivable and unlikely. A common way of using them is with that after a starting It, e.g. It is (or seems) possible that… (see 103. Postponed Subjects in “It” Sentences and 181. Expressing Possibility).

.

HEDGING OF POTENTIALLY FALSE STATEMENTS

The post before this (95. Hedging 1) highlights how generalizations can be hedged to guard against their being too broad. However, generalizations can be wrong in another way, which requires a different kind of hedging. They can be the total opposite of what is true. Consider this:

(e) A high-fat diet shortens human life.

This is a highly controversial statement: some experts agree and some disagree. As a result, it is an opinion rather than a fact (see 107. The Language of Opinions). In order to acknowledge the possibility of it being wrong, a suitable hedging word is not a frequency one like normally, but a truth-commenting one like apparently (= “looks true”).

A similar meaning is carried by arguably, conceivably, seemingly, probably, possibly and in all likelihood. Alternatively, you can add a full verb, like SEEM or APPEAR, or a “modal” verb: may to suggest the truth is 50% likely, might if it is around 30% and could for 10%. For a more detailed discussion, see 107. The Language of Opinions.

This kind of hedging is applicable to non-general statements as well as to general ones. An example is:

(f) The Minoan civilization seems to have been destroyed by a volcanic eruption.

The words seems to have show how a past tense verb can be written in a hedged form with SEEM. The meaning here is that evidence exists for a volcanic eruption being the cause of the Minoan disaster, but such a theory might be completely wrong, the cause being something entirely different.

Another useful verb for this kind of hedging is INDICATE, a common verb in professional writing to link evidence with a conclusion, like this:

(g) The findings indicate that drug use cannot be controlled.

Indicate here means something in between prove and suggest. Prove is often too strong because it suggests the definite truth of the conclusion, something that evidence rarely confirms; while suggest is too weak. When the evidence comes from a written source, INDICATE is a “citation” verb (see 76. Tenses of Citation Verbs). It is known to be one of the most common, probably because of its hedging nature.

Finally, if a statement is being given as a reason for another one, its truth can be hedged by placing it not after because or since, but after if (see 179. Deeper Meanings of “if”, under “Likely Conditions”).

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.